Source:
Food Security and Nutrition Working Group
Country:
Somalia, Burundi, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan (Republic of), United Republic of Tanzania (the)
The El Niño/La Niña–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Alert System is currently on “El Niño Watch” status, with all leading Global Climate Centre’s (GCC’s) indicating increased likelihood for its occurrence by October - September 2012. The El Niño would be expected to continue into early next year.
The consensus Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF32) seasonal forecast indicated the increased likelihood for the occurrence of a mild-moderate El Niño event coupled with weak but positive trends of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) during the October – December seasonal rains in East Africa.