Key Messages
Cereal prices have continued to increase unseasonably across most markets during the post-harvest period, and are significantly above average.
The influx of refugees from South Sudan into Sudan continued throughout January and into February. As of 15 February, there are an estimated 27,600 South Sudanese refugees in White Nile, Blue Nile, East Darfur, South Kordofan, and West Kordofan states, with scattered populations in other parts of the country. WFP has reportedly begun food aid distributions in White Nile, where the majority (18,600) of refugees are located.
Given expectations for increased conflict in the coming months, along with the impacts of rising prices, the poor harvest, and continued restrictions on trade and assistance, food security in SPLM-N controlled areas of South Kordofan is likely to deteriorate to Emergency (IPC Phase 4) in April. In SPLM-N-controlled areas of Blue Nile, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) is expected in April among IDP populations.